NEW POLL, BUT ACCURATE? – AT 8:33 A.M. ET:  A new Reuters poll, taking account of the Democratic Convention, shows Hillary Clinton up six points over Donald Trump.  But there's a complication.  From The Hill: 

Hillary Clinton is up by 6 points over Donald Trump nationwide, according to a weekly poll by Reuters.

Forty-one percent of voters support Clinton, 35 percent favor Trump, and 25 percent of voters chose “other.”

That's a remarkably high number for "other."

When Libertarian Gary Johnson and Green Party candidate Jill Stein are factored in, Trump and Clinton are tied at 37 percent, with Johnson at 5 percent and Stein at 1 percent. 

And that's the complication.  Those two will be on the ballot in many states.  They must be factored in.

Both Clinton and Trump are now officially their parties’ nominees following the two party conventions.

Clinton increased her lead over Trump from last week’s Reuters poll, when she was up by 3 points with 41 percent.

COMMENT:  Hillary will probably get a small convention bounce, but this election isn't in the bag for anyone.  It may well become a "turnout" election, with victory going to the candidate who has the best voter turnout operation.  That's usually the Democrats.

Many new post-convention polls should be out in the coming week.

July 30,  2016